Christian's 2025 Ultimate NFL Predictions
- Christian Clark
- Sep 1
- 32 min read
WACO, TX (September 1st, 2025)- Fall might be my favorite season—and no, it’s not because of the weather or some warm, fuzzy feeling. It’s because of one thing: FOOTBALL. The 2025 NFL season is right around the corner, and once again… we’re in for a banger.
How will Aaron Rodgers look in what’s likely his final ride? Can Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson finally take down Patrick Mahomes when it matters? Will another team go worst-to-first like the Commanders did last year? Every season gives us something wild. A team nobody saw coming becomes a legit contender. Some random fantasy player gets picked up off waivers like hotcakes and becomes a weekly cheat code. I love football because of the unpredictability and storylines and chances are, that's why you're here too.
Last year, the Philadelphia Eagles captured their second Super Bowl in franchise history. Will a new champion be crowned or can Philly become the second consecutive back-to-back champion. There's a lot to discuss before we cross that verdict so let's get...INTO THE PREDICTIONS!
Top Five Teams I was "right" about in 2024:
Packers (11-6 projected record) -> EXACT | To finish with 11 wins and be third in your own division really showcased how difficult the NFC North really was in 2024.
Raiders (4-13) -> EXACT | An expected lost season for Las Vegas and everyone saw it coming. This upcoming season should be a lot better I would hope.
Texans (11-6) -> 10-7 | Houston is building a consistent playoff mainstay in the AFC after years of futility.
Rams (11-6) -> 10-7 | It's not how you start, but how you finish. The Rams had a rough start to their campaign, starting 1-4 but finished on a high note, advancing to the NFC Divisional Round and came within a play of upsetting the eventual Super Bowl champions.
Giants (4-13) -> 3-14 | As predicted, Daniel Jones days were numbered in New York. They couldn't even tank right and missed out on selecting their QB of choice in Cam Ward.
Top Five Teams I was "wrong" about in 2024:
Vikings (5-12 projected record) -> 14-3 actual record | Who would've thought Sam Darnold could win 14 games in an NFL season? 2024 Coach of the Year Kevin O'Connell is the real deal. Although the Vikings predictably crashed out of the postseason, it's clear that Minnesota has one of the best rosters in the league and should be a consistent playoff threat if J.J. McCarthy pans out.
Commanders (6-11) -> 12-5 | One of the most shocking turnarounds in recent memory. From 4-13 to a trip to the NFC Championship Game. Jayden Daniels and head coach Dan Quinn have electrified Washington into a serious contender for years to come.
Broncos (3-14) -> 10-7 | I guess all Denver needed was a competent quarterback. Bo Nix was a revelation for the Broncos' offense, passing for nearly 3,800 yards and 29 TDs. Despite a challenging AFC West division, it seems as if Sean Payton is building a consistent winner in the Mile High City.
49ers (13-4) -> 6-11 | The Super Bowl hangover strikes again. A shock to almost everyone, San Francisco lost seven of their final eight games to finish dead last in the NFC West. Christian McCaffrey's injury was much worse than expected. And when he briefly came back, it just ended up being false hope as he suffered yet another season-ending injury.
Jaguars (9-8) -> 4-13 | Following two consecutive winning seasons, the Jags fell back to Earth, leading to the firing of coach Doug Pederson. The team was anti-clutch, losing an astonishing ten games by a single possession. They'll be looking for Trevor Lawrence to rebound after a season marred with him missing seven games due to injury.
NFC teams correctly predicted records within two games [2024] | 9 for 16
AFC teams correctly predicted records within two games [2024] | 10 for 16
2022 season [13 for 32] -> 2023 season [19 for 32] -> 2024 season [19 for 32]
Team-by-Team Analysis
*Confidence is how sure I am of that respective team making the playoffs*
NFC:
1 SEED: Philadelphia Eagles- PROJECTED RECORD | (14-3); Confidence: 100%
Best case: 15-2 record | Worst case: 10-7 record | Team MVP: Jalen Hurts
Revenge couldn’t have been sweeter for Nick Sirianni’s Eagles. Two seasons ago, they fell short in a shootout against Kansas City in Super Bowl 57. But in Super Bowl 59, they flipped the script—and did it in EMPHATIC fashion—smashing the Chiefs 40–22.
Jalen Hurts became just the fourth quarterback in NFL history to win a Super Bowl after losing in his first appearance. Philly’s roster is still loaded on both sides of the ball, and if they bring the same hunger and focus, a repeat title run isn’t out of the question.
Biggest win: Week 17 @ Buffalo
Most Surprising Loss: Week 4 @ Tampa Bay
2 SEED: Los Angeles Rams- PROJECTED RECORD | (11-6); Confidence: 80%
Best case: 12-5 record | Worst case: 9-8 record | Team MVP: Matthew Stafford
Stafford probably has a few more years left in his career and maybe one more run at a championship? The NFC has some strong teams but the Rams were one drive away from reaching the NFC Championship last year. With Cooper Kupp gone, expect WR1 Puka Nacua to be fed the rock. Adding Davante Adams will help take some pressure off the passing game. No Aaron Donald, no problem. While not elite talents, LA has a productive trio that has helped keep their defense in order. Jared Verse, the reigning DROY, joined Braden Fiske (8.5 sacks) and Kobie Turner (8 sacks) for a steady flow of pain. The Rams are ready for another run at the NFC West crown.
Biggest win: Week 15 vs Detroit
Most Surprising Loss: Week 17 @ Atlanta
3 SEED: Detroit Lions- PROJECTED RECORD | (11-6); Confidence: 90%
Best case: 14-3 record | Worst case: 9-8 record | Team MVP: Jared Goff
A 15-win season. Best in franchise history. And somehow, it still ended in heartbreak...something Detroit fans know all too well. But this time feels different. Dan Campbell’s built a legit contender. The Lions aren’t just a feel-good story anymore, they’re a real threat. This offense has no real holes as Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jahmyr Gibbs, and David Montgomery should continue their consistent play. Defensively, Detroit is looking forward to getting back Aidan Hutchinson who suffered a horrific injury last year. Likewise, the addition of D.J. Reed should help tighten things up. If the Lions can just get their defense from bad to average, there’s a real shot they’re playing in February for the very first time.
Biggest win: Week 3 @ Baltimore
Most Surprising Loss: Week 18 @ Chicago
4 SEED: Tampa Bay Buccaneers- PROJECTED RECORD | (10-7); Confidence: 80%
Best case: 11-6 record | Worst case: 8-9 record | Team MVP: Baker Mayfield
Four straight division championships for Tampa Bay. Whether it's Tom Brady or now Baker Mayfield at the helm, this franchise has seen sustained success like they haven't seen in their franchise's history. A new fan favorite has emerged and his name is Bucky Irving. While the Bucs are known for their pass catchers in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin (returning from injury), a steady dose of Bucky and Rashaad White on the ground should help keep teams honest. If the Bucs improve on defense, I wouldn't be shocked to see this club win multiple playoff games if they get the right draw.
Biggest win: Week 4 vs Philadelphia
Most Surprising Loss: Week 8 @ New Orleans
5 SEED: San Francisco 49ers- PROJECTED RECORD | (11-6); Confidence: 70%
Best case: 13-4 record | Worst case: 8-9 record | Team MVP: Christian McCaffrey
Here’s a wild stat: since 2003, the 49ers have either made it to at least the NFC Championship or missed the playoffs entirely—no in-between. Despite last season’s dud, San Francisco has quietly been one of the NFC’s most consistent teams since 2019. When they stumble, it’s usually because of injuries, and last year was no different. Their top-paid weapons—Brandon Aiyuk and Christian McCaffrey—need to stay healthy and get rolling early.
Defensively, there’s a lot of ground to make up after finishing 29th in points allowed. I do think a bounce-back is possible, but that belief leans more on Kyle Shanahan’s coaching than any major offseason moves. A playoff miss wouldn’t shock me, but with this much talent, anything less than a winning record would be a letdown, especially with their last place schedule.
Biggest win: Week 7 vs Kansas City
Most Surprising Loss: Week 6 @ Seattle
6 SEED: Washington Commanders- PROJECTED RECORD | (10-7); Confidence: 70%
Best case: 12-5 record | Worst case: 8-9 record | Team MVP: Jayden Daniels
While the expectations for 2023 Heisman Trophy winner Jayden Daniels was high, even the most irrational fan couldn't have expected THIS quick of a franchise turnaround. For the first time since 1991, Washington made it to the NFC Championship Game, and Daniels' clutchness and calm demeanor was a big part in their revitalization.
My only concern for this upcoming year is that the Commanders played in 12 one-possession games, winning eight of them. History says that kind of luck usually swings back the other way the following season. That said, I think Daniels is truly HIM though and although they might not win 12 games again, defensive improvements should be evident and more consistent play at receiver with the addition of WR Deebo Samuel should allow them to stay among the NFC's best in 2025.
Biggest win: Week 16 vs Philadelphia
Most Surprising Loss: Week 15 @ New York Giants
7 SEED: Green Bay Packers- PROJECTED RECORD | (10-7); Confidence: 65%
Best case: 13-4 record | Worst case: 9-8 record | Team MVP: Jordan Love
Log jammed in an uber-competitive division, Matt LaFleur's Packers have shown staying power. They're adaptable too as they've done something that they haven't done since 2002. DRAFT A FIRST ROUND RECEIVER. The former Longhorn Matthew Golden will fit in nicely alongside Romeo Doubs, Christian Watson, and Jayden Reed. Jordan Love has been a worthy heir to the successful legacy of elite QB play in Green Bay. He's only going to continue to improve in another year of this system. A winning record is a lock for this ball club.
Biggest win: Week 14 @ Detroit
Most Surprising Loss: Week 17 @ Minnesota
Bubble (any of these squads could make it in the field and I wouldn’t be surprised)
8 SEED: Dallas Cowboys- PROJECTED RECORD | (10-7)
Best case: 12-5 record | Worst case: 7-10 record | Team MVP: Micah Parsons
Dallas is a prime candidate to bounce back and reach the postseason after a rough 2024 campaign. Dak failed to finish the season healthy again and the team looked out of sync even when he was in the game. The team's offseason pickups of running back Javonte Williams and receiver George Pickens infuses new life into this team. And if you haven't seen that interview with first-round lineman Tyler Booker from Alabama...wow. The defense has a great corner tandem with Da'Ron Bland and Trevon Diggs and they'll certainly have their hands full against the NFC East's dynamic receivers. The defensive front is stout, led by Micah Parsons, as this group finished in the top three in team sacks (52). Dallas should be expecting playoffs and with their esteemed pedigree, anything less and we might see Jerry Jones head explode.
9 SEED: Minnesota Vikings- PROJECTED RECORD | (9-8)
Best case: 12-5 record | Worst case: 7-10 record | Team MVP: Justin Jefferson
There's hardly a soul that predicted Sam Darnold's career resurgence, catapulting the Vikings to a 14-win season. There's hardly a soul that didn't predict the Vikings playoff downfall. Kevin O'Connell's Coach of the Year award was well-deserved and he has a chance to make me look silly once again. I do think Minnesota has one of the best rosters in the league but J.J. McCarthy is essentially a rookie after suffering a season-ending injury in the preseason. He looked solid from the few drives I saw though. The Vikings will be good but can they be great like they were so many times in 2024?
10 SEED: Carolina Panthers- PROJECTED RECORD | (8-9)
Best case: 9-8 record | Worst case: 5-12 record | Team MVP: Bryce Young
Something clicked for Bryce Young and Carolina in the second half of last season. A team that couldn't move the football was suddenly going drive for drive with Super Bowl participants Kansas City and Philadelphia. While they came up short, it was clear that this team had a new energy as Young's play ascended. In order for the Panthers to be a playoff contender, they're banking on this momentum to continue.
The Panthers made some massive roster adjustments on both sides of the football. On offense, Tetairoa McMillan joins Adam Thielen, Xavier Legette, and Jalen Coker to form an intriguing medley of pass catchers. Defensively, the Panthers were horrendous, surrendering the most points in NFL history (534). Predictably, their offseason focused on a defensive overhaul. They drafted Nic Scourton and Princely Umanmielen on the defensive line while in free agency, they added safety Tre'von Moehrig and defensive tackle Tershawn Wharton. Dave Canales is building a serious competitor in the NFC South. Will the rebuild emerge quicker than expected? I say they're trending up.
11 SEED: Arizona Cardinals- PROJECTED RECORD | (8-9)
Best case: 10-7 record | Worst case: 6-11 record | Team MVP: Kyler Murray
Last stand for Kyler Murray? Nah, probably not. But more consistency is needed from his dynamic but often times, erratic play. Top receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. should take a monster leap in his sophomore season to serve a 1-2 punch with prolific tight end Trey McBride. It's just truly hard to know what to expect on a week-to-week basis with Arizona, and that's gotta be frustrating for players, coaches, and fans alike. The team's immediate ceiling isn't massive but...if the first two draft picks hit earlier than expected (Walter Nolen, DT and Will Johnson, CB), the Cardinals have what it takes to sneak into the postseason.
12 SEED: Atlanta Falcons- PROJECTED RECORD | (8-9)
Best case: 10-7 record | Worst case: 6-11 record | Team MVP: Bijan Robinson
Can the Falcons pull off a Jordan Love-esque move with Michael Penix, Jr.? They have plenty of pieces to make it happen. Bijan Robinson is a star in the backfield and Drake London is a solid WR1 to have in this system. If Kyle Pitts can ever figure it out, they might have something really cooking. Defensively is where Atlanta needs to drastically improve and I have to say...they really dominated the draft. Jalon Walker and James Pierce, Jr. should solidify the defensive line and Billy Bowman and Xavier Watts are solid mid-round pickups in the secondary. The GM knew they needed defense. I knew they needed defense. The world knew they needed defense. If they can't get a playoff spot this year, it'll be because of...you guessed it...their defense.
13 SEED: Seattle Seahawks- PROJECTED RECORD | (7-10)
Best case: 10-7 record | Worst case: 6-11 record | Team MVP: Jaxon Smith-Njigba
A Pacific Northwest recalibration. Geno Smith out. Sam Darnold in. I think the results will be similar. A shakeup was needed as the team felt stale. Losing DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett hurts but that only means Jaxon Smith-Njigba is due for a NUCLEAR season. The division won't do them any favors but expect Mike MacDonald to give his best coaching effort. Seattle should hang around the playoff picture for most of the year until the inevitable Darnold implosion dooms them.
14 SEED: Chicago Bears- PROJECTED RECORD | (6-11)
Best case: 10-7 record | Worst case: 5-12 record | Team MVP: Caleb Williams
Harsh? Yes, I know. The Bears find themselves in a tough spot. A young, talented squad in perhaps the toughest division in football. I really like the additions that Chicago made like tight end Colston Loveland and receiver Luther Burden III in the draft. The reality is the schedule is really challenging to see a drastic improvement in the standings. Eagles, Commanders, the entire AFC North, their own division. Man oh man. I'm really struggling to find the wins necessary to make the postseason. I think we'll see an improvement in consistency and team chemistry but it may not translate to wins in the standings quite yet. 2026 is the Bears year...ehhh...maybe.
Others: (“rebuilding,” too many roster holes, or too inconsistent)
15 SEED: New York Giants- PROJECTED RECORD | (4-13)
Best case: 7-10 record | Worst case: 3-14 record | Team MVP: Malik Nabers
It's likely going to be another rough season for Big Blue. However, they are building a defensive front that will put the fear into anyone in the league. Top draft pick Abdul Carter will join Brian Burns, Dexter Lawrence, and Kayvon Thibodeaux. Can you say scary hours? They'll win most of their games on the strength of their defense. Offensively, they still have a lot to be desired. Russell Wilson isn't going to get the job done at this point in his career and opposing defenses will key in on star receiver Malik Nabers, making life difficult for them to be a true threat in the challenging NFC East division.
16 SEED: New Orleans Saints- PROJECTED RECORD | (2-15)
Best case: 6-11 record | Worst case: 1-16 record | Team MVP: Alvin Kamara
This is about as clear-cut a bottom-five team as you’ll find. Derek Carr’s unexpected retirement blew a Lake Pontchartrain-sized hole in the quarterback room, and now they’re left deciding between 25-year-old rookie Tyler Shough or 2024 fifth-round flyer Spencer Rattler. Translation: they’re gunning for a top-three pick in 2026, whether they admit it or not.
The regression’s been coming for a while. It’s what happens when you keep kicking the cap can down the road like it’s a Mardi Gras parade float. This year, it’s all catching up. Unless the Saints pull off a miracle (and not the Minneapolis kind), the future in the Big Easy looks anything but bright.
AFC:
1 SEED: Baltimore Ravens- PROJECTED RECORD | (13-4); Confidence: 100%
Best case: 14-3 record | Worst case: 10-7 record | Team MVP: Lamar Jackson
Good luck stopping this Ravens squad. From the 2X MVP Lamar Jackson dashing through opposing defenses to Derrick Henry (1,921 yards) bulldozing his way through the hearts of AFC North foes at age 31, it's pretty hard to see Baltimore not making a deep postseason run. The defense has no weaknesses. Kyle Hamilton and rookie Malaki Starks at safety. Jaire Alexander, Marlon Humphrey (6 INTs), and Nate Wiggins at corner. Roquon Smith (154 tackles), Kyle Van Noy (12.5 sacks), and Odafe Oweh (10 sacks). WHERE IS THE WEAKNESS? And I haven't even talked about their depth. Barring injuries, this team will be the class of the AFC.
Biggest win: Week 4 @ Kansas City
Most Surprising Loss: Week 18 @ Pittsburgh
2 SEED: Kansas City Chiefs- PROJECTED RECORD | (13-4); Confidence: 100%
Best case: 15-2 record | Worst case: 11-6 record | Team MVP: Patrick Mahomes
As long as Mahomes is quarterbacking this team, the Chiefs will be winning 10+ games and making the Divisional Round. If you're not used to it by now, I don't know what to tell you. That said, the Super Bowl reminded us they’re not unbeatable. A full, balanced roster like Philly can give them problems. Still, this team is very much in its prime, despite star Travis Kelce on the decline. While the Chiefs' offense gets much of the fame, it's the defense that is truly slept on. Whether it's Chris Jones, Trent McDuffie, or George Karlaftis making timely plays, every Chief knows their role and that's why they are a championship level franchise and will continue to be there for the foreseeable future. Expect another deep playoff run for Andy Reid's bunch.
Biggest win: Week 2 vs Philadelphia
Most Surprising Loss: Week 5 @ Jacksonville
3 SEED: Buffalo Bills- PROJECTED RECORD | (12-5); Confidence: 100%
Best case: 14-3 record | Worst case: 10-7 record | Team MVP: Josh Allen
The reigning league MVP resides in Orchard Park, NY. What will he do for an encore? He may have to play hero ball again if Buffalo is to make their first Super Bowl in over 30 years. Can any of these receivers deliver a game-breaking play like Stefon Diggs could? Keon Coleman, Khalil Shakir, Curtis Samuel? Good complimentary pieces but not too much more. Adding Joey Bosa on the defensive side to replace Von Miller is a massive addition to keep their defensive line stout. There's not much else that needs to be said. Bottom line: the pieces are there. Now it’s about execution. Beat the Chiefs. Get to the Super Bowl. No more moral victories. It’s Super Bowl or bust.
Biggest win: Week 9 vs Kansas City
Most Surprising Loss: Week 13 @ Pittsburgh
4 SEED: Houston Texans- PROJECTED RECORD | (10-7); Confidence: 80%
Best case: 12-5 record | Worst case: 8-9 record | Team MVP: C.J. Stroud
Same record, same playoff finish as 2023—but 2024 just felt off. And we all know why. C.J. Stroud spent the year getting tossed around behind one of the worst offensive lines in football—sacked 52 times. That can’t happen again if Houston wants to stay in the contender conversation.
The addition of Nick Chubb to pair with Joe Mixon gives them a legit power run game to take the pressure off Stroud and Nico Collins. That should bring some much-needed balance. And let’s be honest—they’re lucky to be in the AFC South. The Titans are rebuilding, the Jags are allergic to consistency, and the Colts are still throwing darts at the QB board. A steady, emerging QB and a rock-solid QB should be all that's needed to get back to the playoffs for a third straight season for Houston.
Biggest win: Week 12 vs Buffalo
Most Surprising Loss: Week 13 @ Indianapolis
5 SEED: Los Angeles Chargers- PROJECTED RECORD | (10-7); Confidence: 65%
Best case: 12-5 record | Worst case: 8-9 record | Team MVP: Justin Herbert
Under the leadership of Jim Harbaugh, it’s clear Los Angeles has found a new grit and toughness that’ll make them a consistent threat in the AFC. The Chargers have their new WR1 in Ladd McConkey, and there’s real optimism with first-round RB Omarion Hampton.
Now it’s on Justin Herbert to take that next step and finally grab his first playoff win. He’s a special talent, and with that comes big expectations. The offseason flew under the radar, but the Chargers quietly made some solid moves—adding lineman Mekhi Becton to shore up the interior and Donte Jackson at corner. The season-ending loss to star left tackle Rashawn Slater is devastating but I still believe in this team.
The fight for playoff positioning in the AFC is going to be a spectacle, and it’d be a major disappointment if LA doesn’t snag one of those spots.
Biggest win: Week 5 vs Washington
Most Surprising Loss: Week 3 @ Minnesota
6 SEED: Cincinnati Bengals- PROJECTED RECORD | (10-7); Confidence: 65%
Best case: 12-5 record | Worst case: 9-8 record | Team MVP: Joe Burrow
A fantasy football player’s dream. This Cincinnati offense can score at will. The problem? You guessed it—they can’t stop anyone. When almost half your cap is locked up in just three guys—Burrow (4,918 yards, 43 TDs), Chase (1,708 yards, 17 TDs), and Higgins (911 yards, 10 TDs)—you’re forced to take some major shortcuts elsewhere.
They’ll win most games on the back of that electric trio. But the minute they face a team with a real defense in the playoffs? It could get ugly fast. Fans got spoiled with back-to-back AFC Championship runs and a Super Bowl appearance not too long ago. Without huge defensive adjustments, don’t hold your breath for a repeat run. The bad luck should end and a playoff spot is expected. But if they miss for the third consecutive year? There are serious questions to answer about how this roster is built for the long haul.
Biggest win: Week 15 vs Baltimore
Most Surprising Loss: Week 16 @ Dallas
7 SEED: Pittsburgh Steelers- PROJECTED RECORD | (9-8); Confidence: 55%
Best case: 11-6 record | Worst case: 8-9 record | Team MVP: T.J. Watt
They, Always. Find. A. Way. In what is likely quarterback Aaron Rodgers' final season in the NFL, Pittsburgh is pulling out all the stops to make it a special one. Key offseason additions in CB Jalen Ramsey and WR D.K. Metcalf will give the Steelers reliable anchors on both sides of the football. Under Mike Tomlin, we'll see more of the same. A high-floor, low-ceiling team that is going to be competitive in every game they play in.
Biggest win: Week 18 vs Baltimore
Most Surprising Loss: Week 12 @ Chicago
Bubble (any of these squads could make it in the field and I wouldn’t be surprised)
8 SEED: Jacksonville Jaguars- PROJECTED RECORD | (9-8)
Best case: 11-6 record | Worst case: 6-11 record | Team MVP: Trevor Lawrence
It wouldn’t surprise me one bit if Jacksonville broke out this year and won the AFC South. That offense? NFL RedZone regulars, no doubt. Brian Thomas Jr., rookie two-way phenom Travis Hunter, and free agent pickup Dyami Brown...good luck guarding all of that. Trevor Lawrence... my man, no more excuses. He’s got weapons. He’s got protection. It’s time to THRIVE.
Now, on the flip side—this pass defense was atrocious last year. Dead last in the league. If that doesn’t get fixed, they’re going to get carved up worse than a Thanksgiving turkey in Dallas. I’ve got them on the outside looking in for now. The consistency just hasn’t been there—Lawrence included. But maybe, just maybe, new coach Liam Coen brings the spark this offense has been missing. This could be exactly what DUVALLL needs to take the next step.
9 SEED: Denver Broncos- PROJECTED RECORD | (9-8)
Best case: 11-6 record | Worst case: 7-10 record | Team MVP: Bo Nix
It took Denver until the final week of the 2024 regular season to finally return to the playoffs for the first time since winning Super Bowl 50. The league’s got real parity now, and they’re not sneaking up on anyone this time.
The conference is stacked, and their division will be a dogfight. But there’s a lot to be excited about moving forward. Sean Payton may have nailed it with the selection of Bo Nix, who had a stellar rookie year and looks like the franchise QB for the next decade if he keeps this up.
Defensively, they’re loaded—led by 2024 DPOY Patrick Surtain II and sack machine Nik Bonitto (13.5 sacks). This team is absolutely playoff-caliber. But in this conference? I’ve got them just barely on the outside looking in. Could really go either way.
10 SEED: Miami Dolphins- PROJECTED RECORD | (9-8)
Best case: 10-7 record | Worst case: 7-10 record | Team MVP: Tyreek Hill
At this point, we pretty much know how this plays out. second in the AFC East. Fringe playoff team. First-round exit if they even get in. How does this narrative change? Honestly, I’m not sure it can. Miami has an above-average quarterback who runs the system well enough—but when it’s time to face the heavyweights, this team rarely shows up. It's going to be a 'fast and furious' team once again with Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, De'Von Achane, and Jaylen Wright. However, I've always said the worst place to be is "staying in neutral" and unfortunately, Miami will likely experience that again with a respectable 8-10 wins and no clear path to improvement nor venture towards true championship aspirations.
Others: (“rebuilding,” too many roster holes, or too inconsistent)
11 SEED: Indianapolis Colts- PROJECTED RECORD | (7-10)
Best case: 9-8 record | Worst case: 5-12 record | Team MVP: Jonathan Taylor
I was sky-high on Anthony Richardson's potential but when fans and the coaching staff is insisting on Daniel Jones starting the season as QB...it might be wraps. Indianapolis is never truly bad so they'll still be competent with a solid defense and a stout rushing attack led by Jonathan Taylor. I wouldn't expect too much more than a season of false hopes though. As far as optimism goes, the Colts got an absolute steal when Tyler Warren fell into their laps in Round One of the draft. In addition, I'm on board with Josh Downs (shades of T.Y. Hilton) exploding in Year Three alongside Michael Pittman, Jr. and Adonai Mitchell...if he can find someone to consistently get him the ball. This is a quarterback-friendly system...without the QB.
12 SEED: New England Patriots- PROJECTED RECORD | (6-11)
Best case: 9-8 record | Worst case: 4-13 record | Team MVP: Drake Maye
New England is likely a year away from being a true playoff contender but Drake Maye gives serious hope to new HC Mike Vrabel and this fanbase for years to come. The biggest concern last year was the offensive line and the Patriots wasted no time in getting their left tackle of the future in LSU's Will Campbell. Milton Williams will be a major force on the defensive interior to go alongside Christian Gonzalez in the secondary. There's still major work to be done on this roster but expect New England to be a lot more competitive and pull an upset on a few unsuspecting teams this upcoming season. Don't be surprised if they make a push towards second place in the AFC East by season's end.
13 SEED: Las Vegas Raiders- PROJECTED RECORD | (6-11)
Best case: 8-9 record | Worst case: 4-13 record | Team MVP: Ashton Jeanty
Here's a sneaky team that could push for a playoff spot if a few things go their way. Pete Carroll after some time off is reunited with Geno Smith in Las Vegas. Smith will provide some stability to the quarterback position, something they haven't had since Derek Carr a few years back. The offense has two players that will EAT: tight end Brock Bowers and rookie running back Ashton Jeanty out of Boise State. The receiving room leaves much to be desired so it's an easy bet that Bowers will eclipse 1K receiving yards. It’s still a rebuild, no question—but Carroll knows how to maximize a roster. There are holes on both sides of the ball, but expect this group to hang around longer than expected.
14 SEED: Tennessee Titans- PROJECTED RECORD | (4-13)
Best case: 7-10 record | Worst case: 2-15 record | Team MVP: Cam Ward
There’s nowhere to go but up when you’re coming off the No. 1 overall pick. Cam Ward is going to be a fun watch, and he’s got a decent arsenal to work with right away—Calvin Ridley, Tyler Lockett, and veteran Van Jefferson. The Titans have to be better at protecting the ball after leading the league in turnovers last year with 34. That simply can’t happen again unless you want another #1 pick. Jeffery Simmons remains the lone true star on defense, so it’s going to come down to how quickly they can develop their recent draft picks into building blocks. The good news? The AFC South is still very much in flux. That gives Tennessee a real shot to rack up a few more wins than people might expect in this new era.
15 SEED: New York Jets- PROJECTED RECORD | (4-13)
Best case: 7-10 record | Worst case: 2-15 record | Team MVP: Jamien Sherwood
The Aaron Rodgers 'era' was a bust to say the least and now it seems like another year of the same 'ol Jets. Justin Fields' audition begins now as he attempts to find stable footing after his Bears and Steelers tenures not going the way he'd hoped. The Jets should be a very run heavy team with Braelon Allen and Breece Hall fitting in well with Fields' offense approach. They'll be good defensively in all areas, led by Sauce Gardner, Quinnen Williams, and linebacker Jamien Sherwood but it'll all be for naught if you can't score points consistently. The Jets haven't reached the postseason since the 2010 season and I have bad news, the streak is likely to continue for a 15th straight season.
16 SEED: Cleveland Browns- PROJECTED RECORD | (2-15)
Best case: 7-10 record | Worst case: 2-15 record | Team MVP: Myles Garrett
Ya shoulda kept Baker guys. Look what has happened since then. No one really knows at this juncture what their quarterback plan is with two rookies and two vets at their disposal. Veteran ELITE QB Joe Flacco will start Week One but do you really want a 40 year old as the 'future?'
It's a real shame because it's not like the Browns don't have talent. Defensive end Myles Garrett continues to wreck havoc on opposing QBs and cornerback Denzel Ward has shown he can lock down the best receivers in the AFC. On offense, Jerry Jeudy was a revelation (90 REC, 1,229 yards) with Famous Jameis throwing him the rock. Nick Chubb is gone but new life is infused in the backfield. Rookies in Ohio State's Quinshon Judkins and Tennessee's Dylan Sampson have potential to be a dynamic duo for the next half decade in Cleveland. There's a lot of fun pieces but not quite sure how they all fit yet.
Notable Season Trends
NFC:
Eagles finish season on a 12-1 streak
Commanders start 5-1
Vikings start 4-1
Packers start 4-1
49ers start 4-0
Panthers start 3-0
Cardinals start 5-2
Lions go 6-1 from Weeks 7-14
Saints clinch #1 pick in 2026 NFL Draft
AFC:
Chiefs win final seven games
Bills start 7-1
Ravens start 7-1
Chargers start 6-1
Bengals win final four games to sneak into playoffs
Jets start 0-8
Browns start 0-7
Top 5 Games of 2025-2026
Ravens @ Bills [Week 1- SNF]- The 2024 AFC Divisional Game between these two clubs went how we all expected. A dropped two-point conversion was the difference between advancing and going home. Will the Ravens exact revenge or will Buffalo flex their muscle in the opening game?
Eagles @ Chiefs [Week 2]- Any Super Bowl rematch the following season has to make this list. Do I need to say anything else? Both teams will be LOCKED IN!
Packers @ Steelers [Week 8- SNF]- Rodgers vs the Packers in primetime. This will be special moment of reflection but also a matchup that could have playoff implications down the line.
Lions @ Eagles [Week 11- SNF]- NFC Championship preview? Get your popcorn ready when the Lions get their stiffest test of the season. Can their defense slow down Saquon Barkley and the defending champs on the road?
Cowboys @ Commanders [Week 17- Christmas Day]- We already know this is a historic rivalry but to get it on Christmas Day with two great quarterbacks? There's not many better presents a football fan could want under that tree.
Most Consequential Games of the 2025-2026 Season
*based on my predictions
Week 3: Chargers over Broncos- The logjam that is the AFC West could come down to these H2H matchups between Denver and LA. I have Herbert outdueling Nix which will be the difference in a tight race to the postseason.
Week 13: Lions over Packers- If last year was any indication, the NFC North Crown will be a battle to the bitter end. I like Detroit's consistent play to keep them atop the division for a third straight season.
Week 15/16: Steelers/Bengals over Dolphins- Miami will have two chances to defeat an AFC North foe in consecutive weeks and use that tiebreaker to reach the postseason. For Fins fans, they'll drop both late-season contests, ultimately dooming them once again.
Week 17: Commanders over Cowboys- The NFC East has shown much volatility over the previous two decades. As these rivals fight for playoff positioning, one dynamic play from Terry McLaurin or CeeDee Lamb could be the difference in a playoff berth...or sitting at home in January.
Week 18: Buccaneers over Panthers- Do-or-die in the NFC South. This will be the most meaningful game since the Panthers last playoff appearance in the 2017 season. On Sunday Night Football, we'll really see if Carolina has truly arrived. I think Tampa Bay takes this one in a close battle but it'll be valuable experience for Bryce Young down the road.
Playoff Predictions
AFC Playoff Field:
#1. Baltimore Ravens (13-4)
#2. Kansas City Chiefs (13-4)
#3. Buffalo Bills (12-5)
#4. Houston Texans (10-7)
#5. Los Angeles Chargers (10-7)
#6. Cincinnati Bengals (10-7)
#7. Pittsburgh Steelers (9-8)
NFC Playoff Field:
#1. Philadelphia Eagles (14-3)
#2. Los Angeles Rams (11-6)
#3. Detroit Lions (11-6)
#4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-7)
#5. San Francisco 49ers (11-6)
#6. Washington Commanders (10-7)
#7. Green Bay Packers (10-7)
Wild Card Round:
Divisional Round:
Conference Championship:
From top to bottom, these are the two best rosters in football. Offense, defense, depth—there’s not much either team doesn’t do well. If Super Bowl 60 in San Francisco ends up being Eagles vs. Ravens, we could be in for an all-time classic.
For Philly, this would mark three Super Bowl appearances in four years. A win here would officially kick off a dynastic run. Jalen Hurts—coming off a Super Bowl LIX MVP—has already proven he can thrive on the biggest stage.
For Baltimore, it’s their first trip back since 2012, when the Harbaugh brothers squared off in New Orleans. To even get here, the Ravens will likely have to go through Mahomes and/or Allen, which would make this run even more legit. But the job’s not finished.
Stylistically, these teams mirror each other. Both have elite defenses that rarely beat themselves. Both are built to run the football and control the game. And both are led by top-five quarterbacks—Hurts and 2x MVP Lamar Jackson—who can beat you with arm, legs, and leadership.
It’s a true 50/50 matchup. But here’s the question—will the Eagles still have the same hunger after winning it all last year? This is familiar territory for them. Meanwhile, for Lamar and Derrick Henry, this is the moment. You may only get one shot in the AFC with this core to get through and capture the Lombardi.
And with that gut feeling? I’m rolling with the Ravens. Hungrier, more to prove—and ready to finish the job. Baltimore wins Super Bowl 60. Lamar and King Henry get their rings—and take one giant step toward Canton.
The pick: Baltimore Ravens 37, Philadelphia Eagles 33
Winner: Baltimore Ravens (3rd title in franchise history)
Super Bowl MVP: Lamar Jackson, QB, Ravens
NFL Awards
MVP: Lamar Jackson, QB, Ravens
OPOY: Joe Burrow, QB, Bengals
DPOY: Micah Parsons, DE, Cowboys
OROY: Ashton Jeanty, RB, Raiders
DROY: Mykel Williams, DE, 49ers
CPOY: Christian McCaffrey, RB, 49ers
Coach of the Year: John Harbaugh, Ravens
Fantasy Player of the Year: Ja'Marr Chase, WR, Bengals
Breakout Offensive Player: Marvin Harrison, Jr., Cardinals
Breakout Defensive Player: Moro Ojomo, DT, Eagles
Best Offense: Baltimore Ravens
Best Defense: Philadelphia Eagles
Haters Gonna Hate (an imaginary award where a highly scrutinized player proves people wrong): Trevor Lawrence, QB, Jaguars
Most Improved Team: San Francisco 49ers
Biggest Surprise: Las Vegas Raiders
Biggest Disappointment: Chicago Bears
Team on the Rise: Carolina Panthers
Biggest Spoiler: New England Patriots
Game of the Year: Eagles @ Chiefs Week 2
Upset of the Year: Giants over 49ers Week 9
Bonus: Preseason NFL QB Team Rankings (2025 edition)
My rankings are based on postseason success, consistency, "clutchness,"and statistics. The word "potential" isn't factored into these rankings. This is a list of where "X player" is RIGHT NOW and not a projection (sorry rookies).
THE G.O.A.T.
#1. Patrick Mahomes, KC [Last Year: 1]- Despite losing in the Super Bowl, there is no doubt that the three-time Super Bowl champion is the most feared QB in the league.
The Best of the Best
#2. Lamar Jackson, BAL [Last Year: 2]- A future Hall of Fame QB in the making. The two-time MVP is only missing a Lombardi in his trophy case with several great years ahead of him.
#3. Josh Allen, BUF [Last Year: 4]- In what was supposed to be a minor step back season, Allen elevated the Bills to the cusp of a Super Bowl appearance, capturing his first MVP in the process.
#4. Joe Burrow, CIN [Last Year: 3]- It's all for naught if you don't have a competent defense. Burrow continues to put up monster stats but he'll need to avoid injuries and another solid playoff run to keep himself in the top five moving forward. Can't have another season of missing the postseason.
#5. Jalen Hurts, PHI [Last Year: 9]- He's a lot more than just the 'Tush Push.' The Super Bowl 59 MVP proved via the ground and through the air to the critics that he can get it done in the clutch against anybody.
#6. Jared Goff, DET [Last Year: 8]- Once again, I'm higher on Goff than most people. Perhaps that's me trying to make up for calling him a 'bust in the making' when he first came out of Cal. This guy puts up stats and wins. He's put up at least 4,400 yards and 29 TDs since coming to the Motor City.
#7. Baker Mayfield, TB [Last Year: 16]- A career renaissance like we haven’t seen before. Baker’s got two playoff appearances with Tampa and finally—some stability he’s never had before. We’ve seen this trend lately with Geno and Darnold—guys coming out of nowhere to prove they’re not done yet. It’s a solid reminder: no quarterback is ever truly out of the game.
#8. Justin Herbert, LAC [Last Year: 10]- The former Oregon Duck star is such a joy to watch. He can fit the football into some serious windows. Under Harbaugh, Herbert had career-highs in least interceptions thrown (3) and passing rating (101.7).
#9. Matthew Stafford, LAR [Last Year: 7]- It's very rare in the NFL to see a mutually-beneficial trade but that's what happened when Detroit and Los Angeles swapped QBs. Stafford has delivered a championship and consistent play to the Rams and will likely do so for the remainder of his remarkable career.
#10. C.J. Stroud, HOU [Last Year: 12]- Consistent and steady. C.J. Stroud has already become one of the most trusted young quarterbacks in the league. His second half of 2024 raised a few questions, but when it mattered most, he delivered, leading Houston to the Divisional Round for the second straight season. The Texans have found their guy. No doubt about it.
Flashes of Brilliance
#11. Brock Purdy, SF [Last Year: 13]- Despite moving up this list, Brock Purdy took a step back after his run to Super Bowl 58. Eleven fewer touchdowns and 12 interceptions isn’t ideal. He’s an efficient, system-driven quarterback—nothing flashy, nothing that screams top 10—but he fits exactly what the 49ers need to win games. The real question: can he ever be the guy who elevates a team to win the Big One?
#12. Dak Prescott, DAL [Last Year: 6]- I know. He chokes in the playoffs. He’s still a winner—just maybe not when Cowboys fans want him to be… in January. When he’s healthy, Dak is a great regular season quarterback who puts up big-time numbers. The issue has been availability and postseason success. That’s why he falls a bit here. Other QBs on this list have simply shown more when it counts. but Dak is still a very talented player.
#13. Jayden Daniels, WAS [Last Year: 31]- Daniels arrived on the scene during last year's Week 3 MNF matchup against the Bengals, where he had just two incompletions, and showing to the nation that Washington would be a force to be reckoned with. The sky is truly the limit for the former LSU star. I'm tempted to put him a lot higher but I want to see a second season of greatness.
#14. Jordan Love, GB [Last Year: 17]- This is only the beginning for Jordan Love. I'd like to see him improve on his consistency but going into his third season as the clear cut starter, he's in a really great spot for the Packers.
#15. Tua Tagovailoa, MIA [Last Year: 11]- Tagovailoa's career was in jeopardy with multiple scary concussions. I'm glad that he's healthy enough to keep playing. He's a player who thrives in a structured environment with great players around him. Miami has developed an offense that helps him succeed.
#16. Kyler Murray, ARI [Last Year: 18]- Murray has played consistent B- football over the course of his career. He's had moments where he's going toe-to-toe against some of the league's best. And he'll have moments that will make you say, "what the heck are you doing man?" He's exciting to watch as he runs around defenders in circles but ultimately embodies this category of 'flashes of brilliance. Not sure he gets much better than this.
#17. Trevor Lawrence, JAX [Last Year: 14]- Some people are already throwing around the word “bust.” I don’t agree with that—but I get where the questions come from. When you’re hyped as a generational talent and only have one playoff win in four years, with stretches of inconsistency, people are going to start asking tough questions. And that’s fair. He’s being paid like a franchise guy—now it’s time to play like one. With a full arsenal around him this season, we should get a much clearer picture of where his career is heading.
Mid-tier Vets
#18. Aaron Rodgers, PIT [Last Year: 5]- This is likely Rodgers' swan song as he goes to Pittsburgh and tries to go out on a high note. He's not playing like your multi-time league MVP anymore but he's still extremely accurate and making winning plays. At 41 years old, it could be a lot worse.
#19. Geno Smith, LV [Last Year: 19]- Reunited with Pete Carroll, Smith will have a fresh start to bounce back after a mediocre 2024 season. He's stable with the occasional elite game and that's exactly what Las Vegas needs for now.
#20. Sam Darnold, SEA [Last Year: 28]- Last year I mentioned Darnold having the potential of a 'Geno Smith type comeback.' I think that was pretty spot on. Although the Vikings opted to let him go in free agency, it's encouraging to see the USC product being very efficient in the right offense. Seattle is hoping to see more of the same in 2025.
Young and Dumb
#21. Bo Nix, DEN [Last Year: 32]- wow. wow. WOW! Bo Nix was sensational for Denver after a rough opening four games. His dual-threat ability and strong arm is exactly what Sean Payton was hoping to see when they drafted him #12 overall last season. I'll admit when I was wrong. I was DEAD wrong.
#22. Caleb Williams, CHI [Last Year: 30]- It's going to be a-ok for Caleb Williams. He made the highlight throws that earned him the Heisman Trophy in 2022. We also saw some boneheaded erratic plays but that's acceptable for a rookie. The Bears are doing everything they can to make sure Williams succeeds and it would be a real disappointment if he doesn't take a sizable jump up this list next year.
#23. Bryce Young, CAR [Last Year: 25]- Did Rod Wave save Bryce Young's career? Jk, Jk. When a quarterback gets benched this early on in his career, it's typically curtains for his time with the franchise. However, Young's new lease on life following Andy Dalton's car accident might have changed the Panthers' franchise. Bama Bryce was activated and he looked the part in the final few games of the year, showing poise and clutchness. Now, it's time to do that for a full 17 games.
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